Anything is possible in the US election campaign: the ex-president is currently losing votes in the crucial states. What experts justify this on.
Washington, DC - In November, the duel of the 2020 US election will most likely be repeated: Biden against Trump. And President Biden's re-election prospects are currently increasing. The Biden campaign was able to win more voters, especially in the so-called “swing states,” reports
Newsweek
magazine .
Battle for seven states: These will be the swing states in 2024
Swing states are the few states in which supporters of both parties are roughly balanced, so that the state sometimes “sways” towards the Democrats and sometimes towards the Republicans. They are also known as “battleground states” because this is where the political battle rages. Which state is a swing state changes. This year the main focus is on the states Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and North Carolina.
“I’m cautiously optimistic,” said Pennsylvania Democratic Party Chairman Sharif Street. “Things are looking good,” said Street
Newsweek
, but “we must remain calm.”
Since his State of the Union address, Biden's poll numbers have increased. Experts base this primarily on the topics of the election campaign. In his speech at the beginning of March, Biden announced his position on the issues of Ukraine, the Middle East and migration.
Confidence is growing within the Democratic Party that a superior campaign could help Biden overcome historically low approval ratings and ongoing public concerns about his age and fitness for office.
Commercials and polling stations: Latino votes could be crucial
Biden's campaign is particularly superior to Trump's in terms of personnel and structure. Observers feel this most clearly in the swing states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. These three states shaped the outcome of the last two presidential elections.
Last month, the Biden campaign announced plans to open 44 field offices in Wisconsin. Most recently, 14 offices were opened in Pennsylvania. 30 offices are also being planned in Michigan,
Newsweek
reports . Additionally, ads and commercials targeting Black and Latino voters and other key constituencies were also run in the three states listed.
And this group of voters could be decisive. Because “the Latino vote was crucial in the president’s victory in 2020 and will be the same in 2024,” said a statement from Biden’s campaign manager Julie Chavez Rodriguez. Now it’s about fighting Trump’s “anti-Latino agenda,” reports the
German Press Agency (dpa)
.
Biden also traveled to the swing states Nevada and Arizona in March. There he spoke about his work in economic policy and also discussed the issues of immigration and abortion. Biden's Democrats are resolutely opposed to the restrictive abortion policies that now apply in a number of US states governed by conservative Republicans.
Despite abortion controversy: Trump's campaign office is optimistic
And the violent controversy in the USA over abortion rights is increasingly becoming a sensitive election issue for former President Donald Trump. The presumptive Republican presidential nominee criticized a court decision in Arizona last week (April 10) that upheld a draconian 1864 ban on abortion. At the same time, Trump again advocated leaving responsibility for abortion rights to the states. In addition, the criminal trial against Trump began this week. He has to answer as a defendant in his hometown of New York in connection with hush money payments.
Trump's campaign office remains optimistic that it will win the election in November.
Newsweek
was unable to verify
how many campaign offices Republicans run in swing states .
Responding to a request for comment about the campaign's plans in key swing states, a senior Trump adviser said the campaign has the necessary resources. (bg/dpa)